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Table 2 Simulated outcomes for three different scenarios based on 2051 inpatients admitted for alcohol withdrawal treatment

From: The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation study

 Baseline scenario (8% of patients receiving QWT)25% of patients receiving QWT50% of patients receiving QWT
n (QWT) = 170n (QWT) = 513n (QWT) = 1026
n (SWT) = 1881n (SWT) = 1538n (SWT) = 1025
MeanMeanDifference to baseline in %MeanDifference to baseline in %
Number of hospitalisations within 5 years14,325 (13,378 to 15,316)13,022 (12,139 to 13,929)−9% (−17 to −0.02%)11,076 (10,336 to 11,851)−23% (−30 to −15%)
Number of days spent in hospital within 5 years264,849 (250,609 to 279,444)237,394 (224,235 to 250,681)−10% (−17 to − 3%)196,331 (184,922 to 208,170)−26% (−32 to −20%)
Proportion abstinent within 28 months16% (14 to 17%)19% (17 to 20%)+ 18% (3 to 34%)23% (21 to 25%)+ 45% (28 to 64%)
Proportion dead within 28 months14% (12 to 15%)13% (11 to 14%)−8% (−22 to 7%)11% (10 to 12%)−20% (−33 to −6%)
  1. Note. QWT Qualified withdrawal treatment, SWT Somatic withdrawal treatment
  2. Numbers in brackets represent 95% confidence intervals