Table 2 Simulated outcomes for three different scenarios based on 2051 inpatients admitted for alcohol withdrawal treatment
Baseline scenario (8% of patients receiving QWT) | 25% of patients receiving QWT | 50% of patients receiving QWT | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n (QWT) = 170 | n (QWT) = 513 | n (QWT) = 1026 | |||
n (SWT) = 1881 | n (SWT) = 1538 | n (SWT) = 1025 | |||
Mean | Mean | Difference to baseline in % | Mean | Difference to baseline in % | |
Number of hospitalisations within 5 years | 14,325 (13,378 to 15,316) | 13,022 (12,139 to 13,929) | −9% (−17 to −0.02%) | 11,076 (10,336 to 11,851) | −23% (−30 to −15%) |
Number of days spent in hospital within 5 years | 264,849 (250,609 to 279,444) | 237,394 (224,235 to 250,681) | −10% (−17 to − 3%) | 196,331 (184,922 to 208,170) | −26% (−32 to −20%) |
Proportion abstinent within 28 months | 16% (14 to 17%) | 19% (17 to 20%) | + 18% (3 to 34%) | 23% (21 to 25%) | + 45% (28 to 64%) |
Proportion dead within 28 months | 14% (12 to 15%) | 13% (11 to 14%) | −8% (−22 to 7%) | 11% (10 to 12%) | −20% (−33 to −6%) |